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<br> <br> <br> <br>119 <br> <br> $
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mcclellan64thorpe
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23 Dec 2021
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(J. L. Kelly) 1956 . , . 1956 . , . . .
.
(BP Q) / B , B = -1,P = ,Q = ( 1-p) .100 10% 10 110 . 110 10% 11 . . 20~30% . .
, . .
119 100% 119 , .
119 100% .119 ,
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